Gloves off in US pushback against China

June 2, 2018

In the unceasing competition between the great powers, this century’s dominant economic and foreign policy story has been China’s breathtaking rise from relative obscurity to the threshold of superpower status.

The accompanying narrative, which has become conventional wisdom in Australia and much of the world, is that the US is in decline and soon will be surpassed by an ascendant and economically irresistible China.
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Korean summit between Kim and Moon crucial to peace

April 20, 2018

The next act in the immensely consequential decades-long Korean nuclear drama takes place on Friday, when the two Koreas launch their much-anticipated summit in the tiny Potemkin village of Panmunjom that straddles the demarcation line separating the divided nation.

The stakes could not be higher. A successful Korean summit is an essential prerequisite and road map for an even more important summit between North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and US President Donald Trump. Read more

Australia is the meat in the US-China trade war sandwich

April 7, 2018

US President Donald Trump has brought the world closer to a trade war that could plunge the rules-based global order into an existential crisis. The imposition of tariffs on imported steel and aluminium last month were the opening shots in Trump’s campaign “to level the playing field” for US firms. But his threat to impose punitive tariffs on China, including $US100 billion ($130bn) of additional tariffs on Thursday, risks triggering a serious confrontation with global implications that would be bad news for Australia. Read more

Tweets aside, US North Korea strategy is working.

October 8, 2017

The escalating war of words between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un has fuelled concerns that the region is on a dangerous trajectory to a nuclear conflict that could have calamitous global consequences. Since 1947, nuclear scientists have maintained a ‘Doomsday Clock’ that symbolically measures how close the world is to a man-made global cataclysm, represented by midnight. The clock now shows two and a half minutes to midnight and ticking, the closest it has been to catastrophe since the US exploded the first hydrogen bomb in 1953. Read more

Opinion: U.S. Warship Sails Near Island Claimed by Beijing in South China Sea

May 24, 2017

“Australia is extremely reluctant to participate in freedom of navigation operations that involve flying over or sailing through the 12 nautical miles around the islands,” said Alan Dupont, a former Australian military intelligence official.

“The Australian government feels it would be provocative and upset China,” Mr. Dupont said. “It feels it would be counterproductive now that China has militarized the islands.”
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Exploring the future of the US-Australia relationship

May 3, 2017

Emma Alberici speaks to former Australian foreign minister and director of the Australia-China Relations Institute at the University of Technology Sydney Bob Carr, and Former US ambassador to Australia Jeffrey Bleich about the impact that the meeting between the two leaders will have on global affairs.

Alan Dupont is interviewed on the Australia-US relations in a special report within the broadcast by Michael Vincent.

Watch the full broadcast recording here.

When Turnbull Meets Trump

May 1, 2017

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s first face-to-face meeting with President Donald Trump is an opportunity to deliver some key messages about the role the United States should play globally and in Asia.

KEY FINDINGS
– Turnbull should emphasise the importance of a strong US leadership role in the world.
– He should make the case for the importance of acting in concert with allies and like-minded countries, especially Australia.
– Turnbull should shape the administration’s still unformed Asia policy by ensuring that the United States remains constructively engaged in the region.
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Turnbull to meet Trump in New York

May 1, 2017

Later this week Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull will have his first face-to-face meeting with US President Donald Trump, just months after the two leaders had a tense phone conversation over the Manus Island refugee resettlement deal.

Alan Dupont speaks with Linda Lopresti at Radio National.

Listen to the full interview.